Amid Staunch Opposition, ‘Sin Taxes’ Move Forward in Philippines

After months of hot debate and decades in the making, President Benigno Aquino Jr. is signing into law major changes to the tax structure on alcohol and tobacco products. This so-called “sin tax” is expected to raise P30 billion ($750 million) to provide health care services for over 5 million “very poor” families in its first year of implementation (2013). Hopes are also that the higher prices of the goods as a result of the tax will reduce the number of people smoking, especially younger people, and save tens of thousands of lives.

For long-time followers of reform in the Philippines, the new law is seen as a huge victory against opponents of the reform. In 2010, Philip Morris and Fortune Tobacco combined to make up 90 percent share of the cigarette market. San Miguel Brewery is the largest producer of beer in the Philippines, with a total market share of approximately 95 percent in 2008.

Further complicating reform measures is an election process in the Philippines that leaves open incentives for widespread corruption. Every three years, an estimated 40,000 elected positions are open and attract about 200,000 candidates. Presidential campaigns are estimated to cost about P1 billion ($25 million) each. Because there is no government support for candidates and political parties, all candidates have to raise their own money – and it’s no surprise that these gigantic corporations have enormous influence.

To understand how we got to where we are today, it’s helpful to look back at the historical context of the tax reform efforts.

President Corazon Aquino (1986-1992):  Good Start

To fully appreciate the tax reform story, we start with the administration of President Corazon Aquino. After a historic “People Power” revolution, the administration quickly sat down to the business of re-establishing good governance and responsible fiscal management. Confronted by significant shortfalls in revenue due to the desperate actions of the Marcos dictatorship, the Aquino administration used its authority to introduce 29 new tax measures that included changes to the income tax and the introduction of the value-added tax (VAT) in June 1986. As a result, taxes increased from 10.7 percent of GDP in 1985 to 15.4 percent in 1992.

President Ramos (1992-1998):  Major Setback

The Ramos administration ushered in a range of important and critical reforms in civil aviation, sea transport, telecommunications, and water privatization, among others. Under President Ramos, the tax effort would peak at 17 percent in 1997. Toward the end of the administration, he recognized the need for tax reforms as a number of new laws effectively narrowed and eroded the tax base. The 1997 Comprehensive Tax Reform Program included a reduction in the corporate income tax rate, an expanded VAT law, a restructured tax on downstream oil industry, and restructured taxes on cigarettes and liquor – the so called “sin taxes.”  Unfortunately, the reforms faltered. In hindsight, some argued that elite families flexed their political and election financing muscle to gain significant advantage.

There was virtually no progress under Estrada (1998-2001), and under Arroyo (2001-2010), a move to an Expanded Value Added Tax (EVAT) did not change the treatment of “sin products.”  Some attribute this to the close relationship between the dominant alcohol and tobacco companies and those administrations.

President Benigno S. Aquino (2010-present):  Opportunity

The election of President Benigno S. Aquino in May 2010 represented a new opportunity for reformers to introduce a more progressive and fair excise tax system. But reformers faced significant obstacles. The first hurdle was posed by the president himself. In January 2010, five months before the election, then-candidate Aquino announced boldly to a major business association that “we will refrain from imposing new taxes or increasing tax rates.”  Instead, he promised to focus on improving tax administration at the Bureau of Internal Revenue and the performance of the Bureau of Customs by curbing and punishing tax evasion and smuggling.

Soon after his election, the tone began to change. In his July 26, 2010 State of the Nation Address, the president lamented that in the first six months of the year, government expenditure exceeded revenues, which led him to propose public-private partnerships and amend the fiscal incentives given to investors.

Breakthrough

By mid-2011, change was in the wind. In his July 2011 opening remarks for the resumption of Congress, Speaker of the House Belmonte, declared: “It is high time that we restructure our tobacco and alcohol excise taxes. The prevailing multi-tax rate classification of cigarette and alcohol products and the pegging of sin taxes to 1996 price levels have convoluted the tax system and shrunk the tax base, dampening the government’s revenue efforts and essentially depriving the public of resources which could have been used to fund the most basic of services.”

One month later, at the second Legislative Executive Development Advisory Council meeting, administration and legislators placed the restructuring of excise tax on alcohol and tobacco products on the agenda for the first time. For the next few months, committee hearings were conducted at the House of Representatives.

Reform Conjuncture

By late 2011, reformers and allies in the administration were increasingly frustrated by the slow pace in the House Ways and Means Committee. Some doubted the sincerity and intentions of Committee Chairman Rep. Mandanas. (Philip Morris operates a $300 million cigarette manufacturing plant in his Congressional district.)  The final straw seems to have been the refusal of Rep. Mandanas to sign an administration-backed resolution calling for the impeachment of Chief Justice Renato Corona. Soon after, Rep. Ungab, a staunch member of the president’s Liberal Party, was appointed chair. By June 2012, the House of Representatives passed the legislation to reform the excise taxes on tobacco and alcohol.

Battle Shifts to Senate:  More Surprises

During the second half of 2012, the Senate held hearings, while advocates and opponents of raising the “sin taxes” used the media and events to explain their respective positions. On Oct. 10, 2012, Senate Ways and Means Committee Chair Ralph Recto issued the committee report. Almost in unison, reform advocates from the government and civil society cried foul because of the low amount of new revenue being proposed. Surprisingly, on October 15, Sen. Recto resigned as committee chair. He was quickly replaced by staunch Aquino administration ally, Sen. Franklin Drilon. Events moved quickly but not without efforts to stall and derail by the opposition. Amendments to weaken or discredit the reform were introduced. One by one, the justifications posed were addressed by both Congressional allies and civil society partners.

In the end, the reformers in the Aquino administration and civil society achieved all of the original objectives, and given the enormous resources available and the billions at stake for the opposition, it is still a wonder that the reform was passed. A number of factors emerged that resulted in a victory – from the core group of committed individual leaders who have worked on tax reform for most of their careers, to informal networks that served as the basis for the robust informal coalition between government and civil society. Meanwhile, the strategic decision to use the new resources to broaden the scope for universal health care helped build a very broad civil society coalition. In the end, it is good news for the reform movement, and for the health (and pocketbook) of the nation that this law was finally passed.

Jaime Faustino manages the Economic Reform and Development Entrepreneurship Program in the Philippines. He can be reached at [email protected]. The views and opinions expressed here are those of the individual author and not those of The Asia Foundation.

Typhoon Pablo Batters ‘Typhoon-Free’ Mindanao

Almost a year after Typhoon “Sendong” devastated the cities of Cagayan de Oro and Iligan in the northern part of Mindanao, Philippines, last December, the historically “typhoon-free” island experienced another similarly rare and intense tropical storm that struck on December 4. Super Typhoon “Pablo” slammed into Siquijor, Misamis Oriental, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Sur, Compostela Valley, and Davao Oriental, hitting some of the same cities and towns still recovering from the havoc suffered during Sendong.

TyphoonMindanao

On Dec. 4, Typhoon Pablo slammed into Southern Mindanao, hitting some of the same cities and towns still recovering from the havoc suffered during Sendong. Photo/flickr user SCA Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget.

According to the Philippines Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), Pablo was 375 miles in diameter and packed gusts up to 130 mph with torrential rains on average over one inch per hour. Likewise, when Sendong made landfall, it dumped more than a month’s worth of average rainfall in just 12 hours, sparking flash floods in the middle of the night and trapping hundreds of thousands of residents. In relation to 40 years of meteorological records, Mindanao has not experienced such storms, heavy rainfall, and landslides since Typhoon Titang hit back in 1970.

According to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC), as of December 18, the death toll from Pablo had reached 1,046 people with 841 still missing, and damages to agriculture reaching $398 million, infrastructure $190.4 million, and private property $1.2 million.

Some blame the high death toll and Mindanao’s extreme vulnerability to such strong storms, floods, and landslides on the unabated illegal logging and mining operations in the area. However, there isn’t much scientific evidence from past flood tragedies to confirm this theory. The Society of Filipino Foresters issued a statement earlier this year referencing past typhoons Ondoy (2009) and Sendong (2011) and recognizing the fact that “forests can help minimize but cannot totally prevent the occurrence of floods” and that massive floods are more a result of weak infrastructure and the ever increasing amount of moisture in the atmosphere.

Although deforestation and environmental degradation play a role in amplifying the destruction that occurs during such extreme weather events, climate change is more to blame for directly affecting the severity of flooding endured than the cut logs and debris that clog waterways and lead to overflowing river banks. In the same sense, weak disaster preparedness and disaster risk management plans are also partly to blame for the large number of lives lost in natural disasters and for continuing to allow populations to live in geo-hazardous areas.

As The Asia Foundation’s country representative in the Philippines, Steven Rood, further explains: “The only time I saw a serious examination of the issue of illegal logging and mining causing more severe floods was more than a decade ago with respect to Ormoc City and the Typhoon Uring flooding tragedy that happened down in the Visayas in 1991 (in a JICA-funded flood mitigation control study). The data were clear – there was simply too much rain for any ecosystem to absorb, and too many people living along the river banks in danger zones. That there were logs washed down is undeniable, but this had nothing to do with the extent of the flood and little to do with the damages.”

According to IPCC, as average global temperatures rise, the warmer atmosphere can also hold more moisture, about 4 percent more per degree Fahrenheit temperature increase. The atmosphere’s water vapor content has increased by about 0.41 kilograms per square meter (kg/m²) per decade since 1988. A warmer atmosphere leads to more evaporation of ocean water, meaning that each tropical storm that forms has more potential water to pull from and therefore drench in its wake. The citizens of the communities in Southern Mindanao, especially along the coastal towns of Compostela Valley and Davao de Sur provinces who were the first to be hit by Pablo, had never before experienced that kind of typhoon in their whole lives.

Storms are becoming stronger, weather patterns are changing, and, frighteningly, this is becoming the “new normal.”  Given the fact that Manila was recently rated the second most vulnerable city in the world to climate change for 2013 (only behind Dhaka, Bangladesh), there is great merit given to efforts that can build the resiliency of communities to withstand such extreme weather events in the future. In the aftermath of Typhoon Ondoy in 2009, both local and international NGOs began lobbying for a national disaster management plan, which was eventually passed the following year and known as the Philippine Disaster Risk Reduction Management Act of 2010. The new law illustrates a shift in the response of local authorities toward disaster risk reduction, rather than solely relying on response and relief.

Technical assistance is available, such as AusAID’s support to an aerial survey of metro Manila to generate a three-dimensional, geo-hazard map of the metropolis.In 2012, USAID/OFDA provided over $4.1 million for disaster risk reduction activities, mainly in the areas of food security and to improve local humanitarian coordination in the Philippines. These sort of climate change adaptation strategies are working. After Pablo, engineer Armen A Cuenca, the deputy in charge of Cagayan de Oro’s disaster risk reduction management office, said that “early warning alert systems and pre-planned shelters this year were one of the reasons there were zero casualties in the city, which has a population of around 700,000.”  Preparedness remains the key to resilience.

Kourtnii S. Brown is a program associate for The Asia Foundation’s Environment Programs in San Francisco. She can be reached at [email protected]. The views and opinions expressed here are those of the individual author and not those of The Asia Foundation.

Omara Masoudi named Brayton Wilbur Jr. Memorial Fellow

Director Omara Masoudi of the National Museum of Afghanistan completed a two-week professional affiliation at the Asian Art Museum where he examined museum management with an emphasis on public education and outreach programs, and the conservation and registration of artifacts. He also visited other museums in the Bay Area to further address these topics, and met with members of the local Afghan community. He said the fellowship experience inspired him to start a department of public relations at the National Museum to do outreach programs to the community and expand public education programs.

Asia Foundation Trustee Judith Wilbur generously established a fellowship in Asian Art in honor of her late husband and former Trustee, Brayton Wilbur, Jr. The fellowship stems from the Wilburs’ deep interest in Asian art, nurtured through their residence and travel in the region, and their commitment to the work of The Asia Foundation and the Asian Art Museum of San Francisco (AAM). The two institutions are collaborating in the program’s execution, with AAM identifying qualified fellowship recipients, and The Asia Foundation’s Asian American Exchange unit responsible for overall administration.